Tuesday, January 8, 2008

The Democrat's Achilles Heel

I suppose that most conservatives are disheartened by Hillary Clinton’s New Hampshire primary win. Barack Obama was supposed to win resoundingly, thus fatally weakening the Clinton campaign. Some speculated on the date that Hillary would officially withdraw from the race; others (mostly conservative) were gleefully predicting that the influence of the Clinton family on the Democratic Party would finally end.

They were all wrong. Hillary easily beat Obama tonight. She is now back on the fast track for the Democratic nomination. Many Clinton-hating conservatives are dismayed at the thought that the Clinton Machine is back up and running.

They shouldn’t be upset. Hillary Clinton is by far the easiest candidate for Republicans to beat. In most polls, Edwards easily beats the GOP candidate, Obama wins by a slightly smaller margin, and Hillary is either tied or lagging behind. She rarely if ever breaks fifty percent of the vote when matched up against a Republican. Her disapproval ratings are sky-high—over fifty percent of the country claims that they would never vote for her. She is seen as a far leftist by moderates, and as a moderate by far leftists. (These are far leftists, like the readers of the Daily Kos). Her base in the general election seems small.

The reason she polls so poorly against Republicans candidates is that her name is the only one that overshadows the label “Republican.” It is not an advantageous thing to be a Republican at present—there exists (understandably) widespread disgust at their poor performance in Washington. The Democrats represent change.

But Hillary Clinton doesn’t. Voters know exactly what they will get. Some may like it—but it won’t be change. Hillary must hope that enough voters look nostalgically back on the Clinton years to give her a large enough following to take back the White House. However, it is often unwise to base a campaign on things past—Presidential elections are about the future. A Clinton candidacy may be enough to permit the Republicans to keep the White House in an election which, to be honest, they deserve to lose.

7 Comments:

At January 9, 2008 at 6:46 AM , Blogger steveh46 said...

"Hillary easily beat Obama tonight."

Clinton had 39%, Obama had 37%. Out of almost 280,000 votes cast in the Democratic primary, only 7700 separated Clinton and Obama. It was very close.

 
At January 9, 2008 at 1:18 PM , Blogger Beth said...

After yesterday, I am not so sure we should put much stock in ANY poll, Daniel, and that includes those saying any GOP candidate would beat Hillary.

It ain't over till it's over, and I am afraid when it comes to the Clintons it won't be over till she is in the White House.

 
At January 9, 2008 at 2:55 PM , Blogger Marie's Two Cents said...

This is the reason I could slap Oprah!

We have a real mess if Obama or Hillary get elected.

Hillary for instance cries and wins. I know she cant keep pulling this crap but she did it once and it worked.

What if Hillary get's elected and she is going through Menopause or some crap and one day she has a hot flash and having control of Nuclear Weaponry decides someone out there has to go?

Then we have Obama,

I really dont feel like putting up with the Nation of Islam, The Black Panthers, Al Sharpton, Jesse Jackson and that bunch.

Heaven help us we have to beat these two.

Can you just see the implications this would have on the entire Country?

 
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