Tuesday, July 8, 2008

Being a Maverick

Right now, things don’t look good for the Republican party. John McCain trails Barack Obama by 5.5 points in the RealClearPolitics national poll average. Obama’s favorable rating is over ten points higher than McCain’s. InTrade market odds put Obama’s chances of winning at nearly 65 percent, and the RCP electoral count gives Obama 238 electoral votes to McCain’s 168.

Things are even worse for Congressional Republicans. Over twenty Republican House members have retired, leaving their seats vulnerable, and the RCP Generic Congressional ballot gives the Democrats an 11.5 point advantage. Even Sen. John Ensign, the head of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, has said that Republicans should be “running scared.”

So the Republican party is in bad, bad shape. Who does that benefit? John McCain.

During the Republican primary season, radio talk show host and blogger Hugh Hewitt was noted for declaring every development in the race benefit for his candidate, Mitt Romney. (Eventually, this devotion led to a hilarious parody by Iowahawk). I’m not as optimistic as Hewitt always was (and, of course, he turned out to be wrong about Mitt’s chances). And it is obvious that the Republican party’s doldrums are a very big advantage to the Obama campaign. But John McCain really can benefit as well.

John McCain runs best as a gritty, underdog maverick. In fact, it is possible that he can only run as a maverick. He is a lousy speechmaker, using odd cadences and strange grimaces in his speeches. He is only a fair debater, and is unlikely to decisively best Obama in any debates of this fall’s debates. (He is much stronger in a townhall format, but Obama wisely, if cravenly, turned down McCain’s offer of a series of townhall debates) He doesn’t make political allies well—in addition to drawing the ire of conservative leaders, he hasn’t made many friends among the party elite (which, come to think of it, might be a good thing, given the incompetence that the Republican leadership has displayed). In contrast, the entire Democrat party loves Obama.

Even with McCain’s shortcomings as a candidate, he must have something—after all, he almost won the Republican nomination in 2000, and did win in 2008. His appeal seems to lie in his sheer unpredictability and perceived independence of thought. His main selling point seems to lie in a Don Rickleseque ability to attack those in authority or who disagree with him (Bush, Rumsfeld, and those Republicans who don’t support campaign finance reform or amnesty). John McCain’s political persona is that of a principled man speaking truth to power.

That’s hard to do if one is leading in the polls—insults would just make one look petty and self-absorbed, and speaking truth to power isn’t possible if you are actually in power. But if one is behind in the polls, then it is possible to take on the role of the scrappy underdog fighting against the odds. This is what McCain must do.

Surprisingly, McCain hasn’t really exploited this potential strength. Instead, he has…he hasn’t done anything much, really. He’s given some speeches, none of which really went over that well, and challenged Obama on a few issues, and hasn’t really done anything else. Perhaps McCain will decide that the “maverick” strategy won’t work for him, and decide to do something else. But he has to come up with some strategy.

McCain has a perfect opportunity to utilize his maverickness, and doing so would probably help him, but it is important to note that this is an “if life gives you lemons, make lemonade” sort of deal. The McCain campaign would much prefer to be in Obama’s position (even though polls done this early in the process are almost meaningless). If McCain plays the underdog, he will be making the best of a bad situation—a situation that will probably put Barack Obama in the White House with both a Democrat Senate and House.


At July 9, 2008 at 5:57 AM , Blogger Name: Soapboxgod said...

It's an argument just not a very compelling one.

The Republicans had their opportunity. They should have gotten their act together after the mid-terms. They didn't. In fact, they went even further to the left en mass.

Had the leadership and the men of position and power within the established not been so utterly fixated upon a candidate to "defeat Hillary at all costs" and instead placed their focus at the Congressional level, they wouldn't be in this predicament. It's that plain and simple.

But they are....and I have no doubt whatsoever they will take their lumps. As well they should.

At July 9, 2008 at 8:50 AM , Anonymous Ted said...


Wednesday, July 9, 2008
CNN Still Can't Bring Itself to Say Palin's Name

Last night on Election Center with Campbell Brown, a bunch of CNN talking heads discussed potential VP's for John McCain. They mentioned about 12 names overall, and also threw in a couple nonsensical wildcards just for one. One person they didn't mention? Alaskan Governor Sarah Palin.

It's becoming embarrassing to the MSM to watch their avoidance of a VP candidate nearly every serious pundit and analyst considers to be one of the frontrunners, but one of the best choices for McCain. Bill Kristol of the New York Times and The Weekly Standard actually came out a short while ago and flat-out predicted that Palin would be McCain's VP choice. But instead of even mentioning her name, CNN touted Joe Lieberman as the best option for McCain and one of their "experts" even claimed "the right would love it". They must have been talking to the three Obamacons again (oh those ever elusive Obamacons...). This kind of crap reporting is why CNN is getting clobbered by Fox News.
Written by Joshua Lawson at 10:07 AM

Dave Hilts said...
How typical. I agree with previous commentors on this topic. It really appears as if the MSM is quite frightened of Gov. Palin. Let's hope McCain makes the right choice.
July 9, 2008 10:23 AM

Anonymous said...
If you're a Republican, when in doubt, do the exact opposite of what the mainstream media is telling you to do. works every time.
July 9, 2008 10:23 AM

At July 9, 2008 at 3:38 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

If you think this silly maverick label stuff puts down McCain and seriously furthers some conservative agenda, then you are entitled to that opinion. I don't. And I don't share your feelings on this ..

At November 5, 2014 at 5:13 PM , Blogger oakleyses said...

louis vuitton outlet, coach purses, prada outlet, tiffany and co jewelry, nike shoes, red bottom shoes, longchamp handbags, oakley sunglasses, longchamp outlet, christian louboutin outlet, oakley vault, kate spade handbags, louis vuitton handbags, true religion outlet, louis vuitton outlet online, coach outlet, ray ban outlet, nike air max, burberry outlet online, polo ralph lauren outlet, kate spade outlet online, polo ralph lauren, coach outlet store online, nike air max, tiffany jewelry, cheap oakley sunglasses, coach outlet, true religion, christian louboutin, longchamp outlet online, burberry outlet online, michael kors outlet online, michael kors outlet store, michael kors outlet online, tory burch outlet, michael kors outlet, chanel handbags, gucci handbags, michael kors outlet online, nike free, louis vuitton outlet, michael kors outlet online, ray ban sunglasses, christian louboutin shoes, louis vuitton, jordan shoes, prada handbags

At November 5, 2014 at 5:16 PM , Blogger oakleyses said...

nike blazer pas cher, lacoste pas cher, timberland, north face, air max, guess pas cher, nike free, air jordan, sac louis vuitton, air max pas cher, hollister, michael kors canada, lululemon, barbour, abercrombie and fitch, burberry pas cher, hermes pas cher, vans pas cher, north face pas cher, nike air max, sac vanessa bruno, chaussure louboutin, mulberry, nike roshe run, ralph lauren pas cher, louis vuitton, louis vuitton pas cher, sac michael kors, converse pas cher, nike free pas cher, oakley pas cher, ralph lauren, longchamp, new balance pas cher, hollister, nike roshe, louis vuitton uk, tn pas cher, scarpe hogan, true religion jeans, nike air force, longchamp pas cher, michael kors uk, ray ban pas cher, ray ban uk, true religion outlet, nike air max

At November 5, 2014 at 5:21 PM , Blogger oakleyses said...

marc jacobs outlet, beats headphones, canada goose, rolex watches, abercrombie and fitch, celine handbags, new balance outlet, instyler ionic styler, ugg boots, reebok shoes, roshe run, uggs on sale, ghd, north face jackets, nike huarache, valentino shoes, vans outlet, ugg outlet, p90x workout, ugg soldes, mont blanc pens, chi flat iron, canada goose outlet, lululemon outlet, ferragamo shoes, longchamp, nfl jerseys, asics shoes, mac cosmetics, bottega veneta, north face outlet, herve leger, birkin bag, wedding dresses, insanity workout, soccer shoes, soccer jerseys, giuseppe zanotti, nike trainers, canada goose outlet, babyliss pro, canada goose outlet, hollister, jimmy choo shoes, uggs outlet, ugg, mcm handbags

At November 5, 2014 at 5:24 PM , Blogger oakleyses said...

moncler, moncler outlet, hollister, juicy couture outlet, ralph lauren, moncler, louis vuitton canada, montre femme, moncler, canada goose pas cher, pandora uk, parajumpers outlet, thomas sabo uk, iphone 6 case, ray ban, lancel, oakley, swarovski jewelry, supra shoes, moncler, louboutin, uggs canada, coach outlet, swarovski uk, wedding dress, ugg, canada goose, baseball bats, canada goose, timberland shoes, replica watches, pandora jewelry, gucci, moncler, converse shoes, air max, karen millen, hollister clothing, juicy couture outlet, pandora charms, hollister canada, vans, converse, links of london uk, nike air max, moncler, toms outlet, canada goose uk

At March 10, 2016 at 12:01 AM , Blogger Jassi J said...

Packers and Movers Viman Nagar
Packers and Movers Kothrud
Packers and Movers Katraj
Packers and Movers Aundh
Packers and Movers Kalyani Nagar
Packers and Movers Hadapsar
Packers and Movers Pimpri Chinchwad
Pune Packers and Movers

Residential Relocation Pune
Commercial Shifting Pune
Warehouse Storage Pune
Internation Relocation Pune
Car-Bike Transportation Pune

At March 16, 2016 at 2:46 AM , Blogger Richika Sarkar said...

It is nice post
Visit Links:
Packers and Movers Mumbai
Packers and Movers Andheri
Packers and Movers Airoli
Packers and Movers Borivali
Packers and Movers Bandra
Packers and Movers Kalyan
Packers and Movers Kharghar
Packers and Movers Kandivali
Packers and Movers Thane

At March 18, 2016 at 2:47 AM , Blogger Swati Patil said...

Thanks for visiting to this website.Nice post.
Packers and movers Lucknow
Packers movers in Indiranagar
Movers packers Gomatinagar
Packers Movers Hazaratganj
Movers and packers in Aliganj
Packers and movers in Alambagh

Home Shifting Lucknow
Vehicle Shifting Lucknow
Wharehouse Storage Shifting Lucknow
Corporate Shifting Lucknow

At March 24, 2016 at 10:41 PM , Blogger Richika Sarkar said...

It is nice.
visit link:
Click Here

At May 10, 2016 at 8:04 PM , Blogger Zheng junxai5 said...

louis vuitton
louis vuitton handbags
louis vuitton bags
ray bans
coach factory outlet
michael kors outlet clearance
kate spade handbags
asics shoes for men
louis vuitton purses
montblanc pen
coach outlet online
replica rolex watches
adidas stan smith
adidas originals store
longchamp outlet
coach outlet
air jordan 4
louis vuitton outlet
rolex watches
air max
air max 95
north face jackets
cheap oakley sunglasses
louis vuitton bags
nike roshe run
louis vuitton handbags
tory burch outlet online
coach outlet store online
ralph lauren
juicy couture
coach outlet
coach factory outlet online
longchamp handbags
louis vuitton outlet stores
coach outlet clearance
nike air force 1 white
burberry handbags
jordan 3 powder blue
michael kors outlet clearance
coach outlet store online clearances

At May 18, 2018 at 12:55 AM , Anonymous Obat Untuk Menghilangkan Benjolan Di Leher said...

Thanks for sharing the information

Pengobatan Untuk Mengatasi Difteri
Pengobatan Untuk Menormalkan Penyempitan Uretra
Pengobatan Atasi Infeksi Tetanus
Pengobatan Atasi Abses Peritonsiler
Agen QnC Jelly Gamat Di Bangkalan Madura
Pengobatan Atasi Fibrosis Paru


Post a Comment

Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]

<< Home