Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Fred's Last Chance

Rudy Giuliani's campaign is not looking well. He has been damaged by allegations of improprieties regarding the use of government funds on jaunts with his mistress (and the fact he had the affair in the first place). He has lost his position as frontrunner to Mike Huckabee. He hasn't had a really good news cycle in several weeks now.

Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee seem to be engaged in destroying one another's candidacy. Huckabee is trying for the evangelical vote, which he obviously is getting. However, he has virtually no funds, no organization, and no support from conservative commentators. His Arkansas years are filled with allegations of improper gifts, amazingly misguided pardons, and tax hikes. Given that even neutral commentators like Rush Limbaugh heavily criticize him, and that the somewhat more opinionated Laura Ingraham is actively opposed to him, his status as frontrunner is almost certainly shortlived.

Mitt Romney will probably take him down, but Huckabee's counter-attacks may damage his candidacy. It seems likely to be a murder-suicide sort of thing-- Romney will take down Huckabee, but Huckabee's attacks will ruin Romney's chances.

With bad news for Rudy, Mitt, and Huck, there is a narrow opening in the Republican party. This spring, there was another such opening, and Fred Thompson sprang through it. It is possible that he will do the same here. It is not a certainty, perhaps not even a probability, but it would be unwise to count Fred Thompson out.


At December 12, 2007 at 6:50 PM , Blogger Beth said...

It does seem to be Fred's plan to stay out of the bickering, it could end up being an ingeneous move on his part if the other candidates tear each other apart and leave him standing alone among the rubble.

At December 12, 2007 at 9:23 PM , Blogger WomanHonorThyself said...

you know I met Rudy several times..hard not to like him being a New Yorker and all~!

At December 13, 2007 at 8:28 AM , Blogger Name: Soapboxgod said...

With respect to Romney, his attacks against Huckabee have centered on his record and not his faith. In that regard, I commend him.

I think your assessment regarding Thompson is a very good assessment and I hope you are right. He certainly has the ability to do quite well in the south. And, did ya catch his "No hand shows" comment from yesterday's debate???

That was awesome!

At December 13, 2007 at 5:53 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

All of these GOOP candidates seem like incompatible politicians to me...


At December 16, 2007 at 4:00 AM , Blogger Chaya said...

Take a look at Jerry Curry.

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